Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Rede von Donald Trump in Cincinnati/OhioSchluss mit Regime-Change! Stabilität, nicht Chaos!Von Anneliese Fikentscher und Andreas Neumann http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23343

Die Regime-Change-Praxis des US-Imperiums soll nach den Worten des neu gewählten US-Präsident Donald Trump ein Ende haben. Das brachte er am 1. Dezember 2016 bei einer in Cincinnati im US-Bundesstaat Ohio gehaltenen Rede zum Ausdruck. Wörtlich sagte er: „Leute! Wir werden eine neue US-Außenpolitik verfolgen, die endlich aus den Fehlern der Vergangenheit lernt. Wir werden mit dem Versuch aufhören, Regime zu Fall zu bringen und Regierungen zu stürzen... Unser Ziel ist Stabilität, nicht Chaos.” (“We will pursue a new foreign policy that finally learns from the mistakes of the past. We will stop looking to topple regimes and overthrow governments, folks... Our goal is stability, not chaos...”) Doch dieser Mann, der es wagt, solche für führende US-Kreise ungewöhnliche Vorstellungen zu äußern, ist selber Zielscheibe von Regime-Change-Absichten. Soros lässt grüßen. Das zeigt sich auch in der deutschen Friedensbewegung, aus der der Ruf erschallt: "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Trump stoppen!".


Screenshot aus einer Videoaufzeichnung der Rede von Donald Trump in Cincinnati/Ohio am 1.12.2016

"RT Deutsch" berichtet am 2.12.2016 wie folgt über die Äußerungen Trumps in einer Meldung mit dem Titel „Trump: Die USA werden keine Regimes oder Regierungen stürzen" wie folgt: "Der neu gewählte US-Präsident Donald Trump hat versprochen, keine Regimes anderer Länder zu stürzen. Das erklärte er bei seinem Auftritt in der Stadt Cincinnati im US-Bundesstaat Ohio. 'Wir werden den IS vernichten. Gleichzeitig werden wir eine neue Politik betreiben, indem wir unsere vorigen Fehler endlich berücksichtigen. Wir werden keine Regimes oder Regierungen stürzen. … Unser Ziel ist Stabilität, kein Chaos. Deswegen wollen wir unser Land wiederaufbauen', so Trump.“

Die "Deutschen Wirtschafts Nachrichten" zitieren am 2.12.2016 unter dem Titel „Donald Trump kündigt neue US-Außenpolitik an – Donald Trump will der US-Praxis, Regierungen im Ausland zu stürzen, ein Ende bereiten" Trump wie folgt: "Wir werden eine nationale Anstrengung unternehmen, um unsere schwer vernachlässigte Armee neu aufzubauen. Wir haben keine Wahl. Wenn wir auf diese Welt schauen, sie ist ein Pulverfass (tinder box). Wir möchten eine starke Armee – und wir wollen sie nicht einsetzen müssen. Idealerweise werden wir sie nicht einsetzen müssen. Aber wir werden ISIS zerstören. Gleichzeitig werden wir eine neue US-Außenpolitik verfolgen, die endlich aus den Fehlern der Geschichte lernt. Wir werden mit dem Versuch aufhören, Regime zu Fall zu bringen und Regierungen zu stürzen. Erinnern Sie sich: Sechs Billionen Dollar haben wir an Kosten im Nahen Osten ausgeben. Unser Ziel ist Stabilität, nicht Chaos. Denn wir wollen unser Land aufbauen – es ist an der Zeit.“

Palästina: Frieden ist machbar

Das sind nicht die ersten ungewöhnlichen Äußerungen. Zum Thema Palästina/Israel hat Trump am 23. November 2016 im Interview mit der "New York Times" erklärt: „Gerne wäre ich derjenige, der Israel und Palästinensern Frieden bringen kann... Ich würde das sehr gut finden. Es wäre eine großartige Leistung, denn niemand war dazu bislang fähig... Einflussreiche israelische Geschäftsleute sagen mir, das sei nicht zu machen, das sei unmöglich. Ich stimme dem nicht zu. Ich glaube, Frieden ist machbar. Ich glaube, die Menschen sind es leid, erschossen und getötet zu werden... Ich habe Gründe zu glauben, dass ich es schaffen kann.“

Mit Russland gut auskommen

Und hinsichtlich der Beziehungen der USA zu Russland und hinsichtlich des Krieges in Syrien hat Trump im Interview mit der "New York Times" geäußert: „Ich möchte gern mit Russland gut auskommen und ich denke, dass auch Russland gerne mit uns gut auskommen möchte. Das ist in unserem gemeinsamen Interesse... Wäre es nicht schön, wenn wir gut mit Russland auskämen. Wäre es nicht schön, wenn wir gemeinsam gegen den Islamischen Staat vorgingen... Wir müssen dem Wahnsinn, der sich in Syrien abspielt, ein Ende setzen.“

IS: Gründung von Obama und Hillary

Und am 11. August 2016 sprach Trump im Rahmen einer Wahlkampfrede folgendes aus: „Der IS (Islamische Staat) ehrt Präsident Obama. Er ist der Gründer des IS. Er ist der Gründer des IS – okay? Er ist der Gründer! Er hat den IS gegründet! Und ich möchte sagen, Mitgründerin dürfte die betrügerische Hillary Clinton sein. Mitgründerin! Die betrügerische Hillary Clinton! Das ist es, worum es geht!“ („ISIS is honoring President Obama. He is the founder of ISIS. He is the founder of ISIS, okay? He's the founder! He founded ISIS! And I would say, the co-founder would be crooked Hillary Clinton. Co-founder! Crooked Hillary Clinton! And that's what it's about!”)

Solch ein Mann, der sich derart ungewöhnlich äußert, wird zur Zielscheibe. Ein Mann, der erklärt, Frieden in Palästina schaffen zu wollen, soll gestoppt werden. Ein Mann, der erklärt, mit Russland gut auskommen zu wollen und den Krieg in Syrien beenden zu wollen, soll gestoppt werden. Ein Mann, der erklärt, die Regime-Change-Praxis der USA beenden zu wollen, soll gestoppt werden. Ein Mann, die in Sachen IS Klartext redet, soll gestoppt werden. Der Mann, der die Regime-Change-Praxis beenden will, soll selber per Regime-Change beseitigt werden.

Eine neue Form von Querfront entsteht

Und diese gegen Donald Trump gerichteten Regime-Change-Absichten, wie sie sich in einem George Soros und seinen Farbrevolutionen verkörpern, werden getragen von den Herrschaftsmedien – im Verbund mit Kräften in der Friedensbewegung. Das sieht ganz nach einer neuen Form von Querfront aus, wie sie sich bereits 2014 bei den Attacken gegen die so genannte "Neue Friedensbewegung" gezeigt hat. Was können die Kräfte in der Friedensbewegung damit bewirken wollen? Wenn Donald Trump tatsächlich am 20. Januar 2017 als nächster US-Präsident vereidigt werden sollte, wenn alle Versuche, dies im Vorfeld zu verhindern, scheitern sollten, und dann tatsächlich am Tage der Vereidigung zusammen mit Regime-Change-Kräften in den USA in Berlin am Brandenburger Tor unter dem Motto "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Trump stoppen!" demonstriert werden sollte, stellt sich die Frage: wofür? Für Clinton? Allein die Ankündigung einer solchen Demonstration trägt dazu bei, in Deutschland in einem "linken" Spektrum den Boden zu bereiten für die Akzeptanz, wenn Trump auf die eine oder andere Weise aus dem Weg geräumt werden sollte.

Konfrontiert mit Kritik an der Anti-Trump-Demonstration, reagiert einer ihrer Initiatoren allergisch. Man solle sich doch nicht den Unsinn einreden lassen, dass dieser Kerl Trump irgendetwas mit Frieden zu tun habe, und spricht von einem Milliardärskriegskabinett, ohne darzulegen, dass US-Präsidenten generell Milliardärsinteressen vertreten, und ohne daran zu erinnern, dass Linke und Friedensbewegung sich im Fall Obama ganz anders verhalten haben. Eine Demonstration gegen einen der größten Kriegspropagandisten unter dem Motto "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Obama stoppen!" hat es bei dessen Vereidigung nicht gegeben – selbst am Beginn seiner zweiten Amtsperiode nicht, als schon klar war, dass sich hinter seinen schönen hohlen Worten nur deren Gegenteil verbarg: Mord über Mord und Krieg über Krieg.

Antiamerikanismus kommt in Mode

Es bleibt die Frage: was ist mit Donald Trump so anders, dass sogar überwiegende Teile der Herrschaftsmedien gegen ihn Front machen? Woher rührt diese Welle von "Antiamerikanismus" – insbesondere unten denen, für die bislang "Antiamerikanismus" ein Kampfbegriff war, mit dem Kritik an den USA abgewehrt werden sollte? Wolfgang Effenberger erklärt es wie folgt: „Das Prinzip 'Gruppe Clinton' lautet: 'Was gut für General Motors ist, ist gut für die USA.' Dagegen hat das Prinzip der 'Gruppe Trump' eine kleine aber wichtige Ergänzung: 'Was gut für General Motors ist, ist gut für die USA nur dann, wenn General Motors in den USA produziert und in den USA Steuern zahlt.' Trump, gut integriert in die US-Eliten, ist also Teil eines Systems, welches untereinander einen äußerst harten inneren Kampf zwischen den kapitalistischen Nationalisten und den kapitalistischen Internationalisten führt, deren Interessen, Ziele und Visionen nicht kompatibel sind.“

Es zeigt sich: die Herrschaftsmedien wie SPIEGEL, ZEIT, TAZ etc. sind der verlängerte Arm der kapitalistischen Internationalisten. Soll das, was den Herrschaftsmedien – Clinton als US-Präsidentin zu installieren – nicht gelungen ist, jetzt die Aufgabe der Linken und der Friedensbewegung sein?


Quellen:

Meldung von RT Deutsch vom 02.12.2016
Trump: Die USA werden keine Regimes oder Regierungen stürzen
https://deutsch.rt.com/newsticker/43842-trump-usa-werden-keine-regimes/

Meldung der Deutschen Wirtschafts Nachrichten vom 02.12.2016
Donald Trump kündigt neue US-Außenpolitik an
Donald Trump will der US-Praxis, Regierungen im Ausland zu stürzen, ein Ende bereiten
https://deutsche-wirtschafts-nachrichten.de/2016/12/02/donald-trump-kuendigt-neue-us-aussenpolitik-an/

Videoaufzeichnung der Rede von Donald Trump vom 01.12.2016 in Cincinnati/Ohio
CBS News: Donald Trump holds victory rally in Cincinnati
President-elect Donald Trump holds his first public event since his election night address
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JPMgPlj3G08

Washington Examiner an 01.12.2016
Trump's new foreign policy: 'We will stop looking to topple regimes'
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trumps-new-foreign-policy-we-will-stop-looking-to-topple-regimes/article/2608687

Russia Today am 02.12.2016
'New era of peace': Trump vows to stop US toppling of regimes during 1st stop of 'Thank You' tour
https://www.rt.com/usa/368951-trump-us-toppling-regimes-isis/

NRhZ 590 vom 30.11.2016
Interview der "New York Times" mit Donald Trump
„Gerne wäre ich derjenige, der Israel und Palästina Frieden bringen kann“
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23326

Videoaufzeichnung von USA TODAY vom 11.08.2016
Trump: Obama, Clinton co-founded ISIS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCHuZM_9qTk

Daily Mail am 01.08.2016
'He is the founder of ISIS': Trump repeatedly claims Obama is to blame for creating the terror group and calls Hillary its 'co-founder'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3734124/He-founded-ISIS-Trump-claims-Obama-deserves-credit-creating-Middle-Eastern-terror-army-names-crooked-Hillary-founder.html

Tagesanzeiger vom 11.08.2016
Trump bezeichnet Obama als Gründer des IS
Während einer Rede in Florida liess sich Donald Trump erneut zu unbedachten Äusserungen hinreissen. Dieses Mal nahm er den US-Präsidenten ins Visier.
http://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/ausland/amerika/Trump-bezeichnet-Obama-als-Gruender-des-IS/story/16598936

NRhZ 583 vom 12.10.2016
Eine Betrachtung gegen die Orientierungslosigkeit
Ein Hoch auf unsere Herrschaftsmedien (II)
Von Anneliese Fikentscher und Andreas Neumann
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23189

NRhZ 590 vom 30.11.2016
Donald J. Trump
Hoffnungsträger oder Zeitbombe?
Von Wolfgang Effenberger
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23340


Siehe auch:

Stellungnahme zum Aufruf "Auf den Straßen und Plätzen weltweit: Trump stoppen!“
Warum ich den Aufruf nicht unterstütze
Von Doris Pumphrey
NRhZ 591 vom 07.12.2016
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23346

Online-Flyer Nr. 591  vom 07.12.2016
Druckversion     
http://www.nrhz.de/flyer/beitrag.php?id=23343

Reflections on Joe Gerson's (AFSC*) briefing to the Board of the International Peace Bureau on the implications of Trump's being elected as US president



I am irritated by Joe  Gerson's analyses. His comments seem even more dangerous coming from  a man,   known as devoted and clear minded peace person  in the past.

His positioning reflects the unfortunate mainstream "progressive, liberal, activist" intellectual position that differs not from the  liberal or  "Left"-mindset here in Germany or in the West generally. This is shamefully superficial and explains the rise of so called "populist" movements, parties and politicians. The absurd pseudo progressive usage of the term 'alt-right' is completely misplaced and might  better be  applied for those, who invented this  notion.

 The arrogant attitude of the high brows is mindboggling in deed.The liberal Progressives are falling into the trap of seemingly 'enlightened' but in reality   backward media like the New York Times and other MSM like "Der Spiegel"  and the like in Germany and  elsewhere. 'Der Spiegel' has become disgustingly reactionary and hawkish. In the meantime the EU Parliament adopted a resolution last week condemning Russia's  first class international media like RT and Sputnik news as of the same propaganda style as ISIS. 'Fake News'  has become the new buzzword for  fake leftover Lefties.  Gerson uses the questionable term Fake News with respect to Trump and his followers. His tactic is smear, he falls in the McCarthy abyss when he characterizes  his entourage without considering  the  difficult situation the Trump camp meets even  if wants only one thing achieve: PEACE WITH RUSSIA, and  fighting the real terrorists together with that proud nation.
Why these people, as the losing Green candidate Jill Stein does, support the even more obnoxious Clinton camp? It is beyond comprehension
I am profundly frustrated with anything coming from the self proclaimed LEFT or peace camp  or any other liberal Progressives who serve the opposite camp.

It was not the Trump camp who started the violence after his victory, he spoke moderate and  wisely when he addressed the public as president elect, first. Whenever one gets a chance to listen to his words in  a broader context one can see the  direction. His words on Castro, his speech at the AIPAC-Convention ealrier in the year  (which nobody ever mentions!) apart, his telephone call to the Taiwanese Government, his  manoeuvering in picking the right people for his cabinett, his awkward positioning on Iran are all a matter of true concern not picked up for real discussion. We must, however to see see the larger picture behind it, to comprehend the pressure on the president elect.
Whose interests are served by the "not my president" shouters and their backers, whose interests are served by the recount call that  a suddenly affluent  Jill Stein has launched?

What will Mr.Trump of the world after inauguration? He made some important statements on being prepared to struggle side by side with Russia to combat terrorism. He said he will end Regime Change policies. TRUMP = fascist = alt-right =populist= nationalist all these equations  seem much  too simplistic. The global pro national vogue is very much unlike the NAZIS of the last century.  These calls  are all for better relations with Russia and for a more independent, souvereign policy of their respective nations, for a more independent, less US-domnitated policy.  Trump said he  wants to not continue  the Regime Change policy of his predecessors. Enough already for all peace-loving people to give him, to give peace a chance. Blogger


Shortly after the election, I was asked to brief the board of the International Peace Bureau about
the causes and implications of Trump’s election victory. At the request of Colin Archer, IPB’s General
Secretary I have edited and updated those
remarks. The grim picture I painted for them follows.
Missing from this briefing is an encouraging report about the resistance that people across the country
are demonstrating and organizing for the longer term. As one of my colleagues put it today, it i
s time for
each of us to step up what we have already been doing in support of social and economic justice, peace,
the climate and
most of all
for democracy. It is time for us to honor and draw strength from the
spirits of people in our history and acr
oss the world who have struggled and sacrificed for freedom and
survival.
Here’
s that briefing, with all of its flaws and shortcomings:
It increasingly feels like we woke in a different country on the day following Trump’s election
victory. The country
defined by President Roosevelt’s New Deal nearly a century ago may soon be little
more than a memory and we are going to have to fight tenaciously to protect what we can of the
victories of the 20
th
century Civil rights revolution that put an end to Jim Cr
ow apartheid.
The United States and the world have changed. As the German newspaper Der Spiegel
editorialized, with the election of Donald Trump as president, the United has abdicated is role as the
leader of the liberal democratic West. Charles Blow, wr
iting in the New York Times warns that we may
be in “the early moments of a historical pivot point, when the slide of the republic into something
untoward and unrecognizable still feels like a small collection of poor judgements and reversible
decisions, r
ather than the forward edge of an enormous menace...grinding up that which we held dear
and foolishly thought...would ever endure.”
As we anticipated forces unleashed by Trump’s election campaign have resulted in physical
attacks
and threats against people of
color, immigrants and Muslims. Many school children and their
parents are living in fear of deportations, attacks and lost human rights.
Trump’s first cabinet level appointments send the unmistakable message that his white
nationalist, misogynist, Islamop
hobic, anti
-
immigrant, militarist and authoritarian campaign rhetoric
reflect the man’s limited and destructive vision. His appointment of Republican Party chairman Reince
Priebus as his Chief of Staff and new alliance with Speaker of the House Paul Ryan,
both traditional right
-
wing Republicans, reflect Trumps effort to reconstruct the Republican Party’s coalition.
But, at the center of power, we will have Steve Brannon as the potentially second most powerful
figure in Washington in the role his senior pol
itical ad
visor and counselor, the “hotheaded” General
Michael Flynn as National Security Advisor, and the racists Senator Jeff Sessions as Attorney General.
Brannon, Trump’s last campaign chairman, was formerly President of Breitbart News web site, a
power
ful hate mongering and fake news megaphone for the neo
-
fascist so
-
called alt
-
right.
Flynn was
f
ired from his position as leader of the Defense Intelligence Agency for
“shortcomings as a manager and
strategic thinker” whose
grasp on the truth
and truthful r
eporting was limited at best. Flynn has since
said t
hat fear of Muslims in rational
leading to expectations of another era of U.S. military obsessions
in the Middle East
-
supported torture, and called for the imprisonment of Hillary
Clinton.
In 1986,
Sessions, who will be the nation’s senior legal official, was rejected for a judgeship by the Republican
control
l
ed Senate because of his racist record. He has been the leading opponent of immigration reform
in the Senate, and under his reign we will like
ly see massive immigrant deportations, a renewed
campaign of voter suppression laws designed to keep people of color from voting, and a new regime of
harsh prison penalties, even for minor offenses.
Economically, Trump’s election will reinforce robber bar
on plutocracy and still greater economic
inequality. Working class whites who voted for the con artist will find themselves conned again
. Over
and above Trump/Ryan plans to revamp income taxes to accelerate the transfer of wealth to the rich,
they are comm
itted to removing what is called the “estate” tax. Currently married couples don’t pay
taxes on the first $10.9 million that they inherit, and after that the very wealthy pay a 40% tax.
By
removing this tax, along wit
h removing any tax incentives for phi
la
nthropy, the Times reports that
there
will be a “wider path to dynastic wealth.”
As the economic Paul Krugman has explained Trump’s vaunted
infrastructure plan is yet another con based on massive tax breaks that will result not only in profits for
his cron
ies, but the privatization of now publicly owned resources.
In addition to what it will mean for Europeans, w
hatever
those of
you
across the Atlantic
can do
to halt the rise of the far right
in your countries
-
most immediately in France
-
will be helpful
for us. The
more Europe follows in the new tradition of Hungary, Poland,
Brexit and
maybe Austria the more it will
reinfo
rce these deadly dynamics
here in the U.S.
*Merkel’s message to Trump:
"Democracy, freedom, respect for the law and for human
dignity,
regardless of ancestry, skin color, religion, gender, sexual orientation or political
leanings. On the basis of these values, I offer the future president of the United States of
America, Donald Trump, close cooperation."
As with Swedish Prime Minister Ol
af Palme’s
outspoken criticism of the U.S. war in Vietnam, reaffirmation of democratic values and
common sense will reinforce resistance here.
*
Trump’s first Tweet
s, demeaning nonviolent protesters and demanding an apology from the cast
of the popular Bro
adway Play “Hamilton” for their appeal to Vice
-
President
-
elect Pence to honor and
protect U.S. diversity, combined with the cabinet level appointments described above, reflect a
fundamental disregard for the rights of free speech and assembly
What
the sign
al for could follow is
truly disturbing
.
1.
Election a result of a number of forces over time:
Hillary was a seriously flawed candidate: Her ties to Wall Street and recent massive wealth,
her
association with
the Bush Wars
and major role in launching the war in
Libya,
and her
violation of e
-
mail security regulations possibly hacked by Russia and published by Wikileaks
all contributed to popular alienation from her.
Neo
-
lib
eralism since Reagan & Clinton, with
NAFTA, off
-
sho
ring
of millions of jobs
,
the
Bush
economic cras
h, growing economic inequality all contributed to Hillary’s defeat. W
hile
Clinton won the most votes, Rust Belt votes in upper mid
-
west
and Pennsylvania
were
determinative. While Clinton the majority of yout
h, Latino and African
-
American votes, not
as many of these people turned out to vote as they did for Obama in his two victories. This
provided a margin of victory fo
r Trump in the Rust
-
Belt states.
Racism
Since Nixon’s southern strategy, racists and evangelicals in the South have
served
as a critical source of support for Republican financial and industrial interests. As in early
1930s Germany these racist and authoritarian forces coalesced into th
e Tea Party and with
Trump seized the leadership of the Republican Party. Linked to these forces as the so
-
called
alt
-
right, actually white nationalists of a fascist bent. Trump
allied himself with these forces,
including Steve Bannon of Breitbart, and th
ey have direct influence in the White House and
believe they have come out from the fringe into the mainstream of U.S. political discourse.
Democratic values and institutions have been undermined in recent decades. With the
Bush
-
Cheney government, Fox Ne
ws, an education system which fails to teach history and
civics, as well as social media, respect for truth and for democratic institutions, has declined.
The Republican dominated Supreme
Court’s Citizens
United
decision opened the way for the
immensely r
ich and for corporations to buy political candidates, often in secret. Republican
controlled state legislatures have gerrymandered Congressional districts to ensure their
control of the House of Representative and have passed state laws designed to make it
difficult, if not impossible, for many people of color and the poor to vote.
The
FBI’s last minute intervention, Comey’s fist on the electoral scal
es in violation of FBI
policies, may have been decisive.
At a time when all of the news was about Trump’s s
exual
assaults, Comey’s letter to Congress dominated the news cycle, led people to focus on
Clinton’s e
-
mail problems,
and halted
Clinton’s. The
FBI
has a long history of serving as a
right
-
wing tool, but this may be the first time that it directly interve
ned in the U.S. electoral
process. Should Senator Sessions be confirmed at the Attorney General
, the leadership of
the U.S. legal system will be in the hands of anti
-
democratic forces.
Like Europe in the 1930s and today, the U.S. does not lack authoritari
an personalities.
Trump, already a popular and authoritative television celebrity, campaigned as a strongman,
and as the only person capable to addressing the economic, security and
déclassé
racial
weaknesses
felt by his base. The New York Times has since
reported
that Trump wants to
continue his mass rallies while president. This imm
ediately brings 1930s Germany and Italy
to mind.
2.
There is m
uch we still don’t know
and which will become clearer as Trump appoints his
government’s officials
.
A real estate de
veloper and television star, he has
no foreign
or military
policy experience. During a Republican primary debate, he d
idn’t know what the nuclear triad is.
He has had a very small
circle of senior advisors. Nearly all extremely right
-
wing
. The
mainstream
of the Republican Party, the Pentagon and “national security” establishment may
limit Trump’s engagement with Putin.
Time will tell.
3.
Foreign policy uncertain
a.
Recall Republican Senator Rubio saying that Trump shouldn’t be trusted with the
nuclear codes
b.
M
any senior Republicans of foreign policy establishment who publicly opposed Trump’s
campaign now either refusing to serve or struggling with whether to do so to limit what
they understand as damage. Mitt Romney, who condemned Trump as a threat to our
polit
ical system during the primary campaign now hopes to serve as his Secretary of
State. Much like Secretary of State Rogers during the Nixon
-
Kissinger era, he would
likely serve as window dressing for the authoritarian and militarist Trump
-
Flynn axis.
c.
Corpo
rate and financial centers are expecting a massive increase in U.S. military
spending, leading the stock market prices of the merchants of death to soar.
d.
Military Industrial Complex and senior Congressional Republicans will attempt to limit
what he can do
with Russia. (A senior figure in Russia has conceded that the Russians
were in touch with Trump campaign
officials before the election.
)
e.
In the Middle East, Trump appears to be backing off his threat to rip up the nuclear
agreement with Iran, given inter
national support for the agreement. He will reverse the
policy of seeking the overthrow of the Assad government in Syria. The war against ISIS
will be escalated around the world, possibly with boots as well as sneakers on the
ground, without addressing the
underlying causes that gave rise to the its birth and that
of Al Qaeda and other such forces. It seems probable that he will reverse U.S. policy on
not recognizing
Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and U.S. non
-
recognition of the legitimacy
of Israel’s settle
ments in the lands conquered in 1967.
f.
Stock prices of weapons manufacturers are soaring. Massive increase in military
spending coming.
As a candidate
, Trump called for defense initiatives that analysts
would add $55 billion to $80 billion annually to a sp
ending request that totals $583
billion this year. Trump envisions
a Navy with dozens more ships than the service has
sought and an Army as big as the one President George W. Bush sent into Iraq and
Afghanistan for full
-
scale
g.
We expect increased
U.S.
-
Chinese tensions. Trump has pledge to raise tariffs and to
sanction China as a currency manipulator. In a worst case scenario, this could lead to a
disastrous trade war. With China well positioned to take advantage of the failed Trans
Pacific Partners
hip and Dueterte distancing the Philippines from the United States,
Trump and company will likely ratchet up military tensions with China to preserve as
much influence over the “American Lake” and East Asia as possible.
h.
Trump and Abe of Japan
met in secre
tly in New York shortly after his election
a
meeting that will likely reinforce the U.S.
-
Japan military alliance with a focus on China.
Trump has
also
communicated his continued support for the alliance with South Korea.
He’s sent mixed signals on North
Korea: their government ins crazy, China must resolve
the North Korean problem, Trump is open to meeting with Kim Jung
-
un
i.
What kind of pressure he’ll put on NATO nations for military spending
remains
uncertain. Ignorant
as he is
, he may be influenced by R
epublican establishment
and the
Pentagon.
j.
Trump’s need to dominate, short attention span
said to be that of a five year
-
old
-
disregard for others could lead to unnecessary confrontations and possible war.
4.
With Pence replacing Christie as the head of
the transition team, there is
an effort to
re
-
weave a
coalition of traditional right wing Republican establishment and the wild men and women at the
center of Trump’s election campaign.
Pence, who may h
ave great authority a la Cheney. He
is
very right wing, militarist and
a
Christian
fundamentalist
5.
Economically,
a.
between the massive tax cuts for the rich, massive increases in military spending ($55 to
80 billion) we face a massive government deficit
b.
There is n
eed to fear possible trade war, w
ith China the first and most obvious target of
high tariffs
c.
As Paul Krugman has written, Trump’s “infrastructure” commitments are yet another
con, designed to transfer massive amounts of government funds to Trump cronies while
contributing to the further p
rivatization of public resources
d.
TPP is dead
6.
Will profoundly change life in and the standing of the United States internationally
Unleashed racism
, with
attacks on immigr
ants, people of color, Muslims and
Jews
already
under way, leaves many
living in fear
,
Supreme Court
which has considerable power in defining what is legal and acceptable and
what is forbidden in
U.S
.
-
will be packed with misogynist, corporatist and racist figures,
defining the law of the land for decades to come. S
everal liberals on
the court are quite old,
and there could be as many as 4 appointments
to the Supreme Court before Trump’s
four
-
year
term is completed.
Massive tax cuts & increased military spend means massive cuts in social programs,
including education, to long term de
bt, and after short
-
term
Keynesian
boost through
infrastructure spending a recession or worse. This will make him vulnerable in 4 years, after
so much damage has been done.
Trumps and the Republican’s c
ommitment to eliminate Obama Care
could leave medical
care in the U.S. in shambles. Similarly, legislative
assaults on women’s rights
will be the
order of the day.
While his misrule will make him vulnerable, more Democratic senators will be vulnerable in
2018 elections, and we’ll likely have m
ore Jim Crowe
-
light voter
supersession
The good news is that people across a broad spectrum are pushing back. Demonstrations have been
held in cities across the country. Actors on Broadway are reaffirming the centrality of diversity and
democracy to Amer
ican life and values. Many undocumented immigrants are saying “We’re gonna
stay.” The ACLU and other
organizations committed
to democracy are gearing up for major legal
challenges. Peace movement leaders are clear that our first priority has to be doing wh
at we can to
support protect those most vulnerable, and we are preparing for the long struggle to defend and restore
human rights, social and economic justice, a sustainable environment and peace.
Joseph Gerson, IPB Vice
-
President. (AFSC, U